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OCR A-Level History Study Notes

49.2.6 Wars, Plague and the Mini Ice Age

OCR Specification focus:
‘Wars and natural disasters, including plague and the mini Ice Age, intensified anxieties.’

The instability caused by wars, plague, and climatic deterioration profoundly shaped perceptions of witchcraft, intensifying fears and fuelling large-scale witch persecutions across Europe in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries.

Wars and the Climate of Anxiety

Armed conflict was endemic across early modern Europe, and it frequently destabilised communities. Civil wars, dynastic struggles, and international conflicts such as the Thirty Years’ War (1618–1648) disrupted local economies, undermined law and order, and intensified suspicion between neighbours.

The Thirty Years’ War

  • Mass displacement of populations brought refugees into new regions, creating friction and scapegoating.

A general map of Europe during the Thirty Years’ War (1618–1648). It orients learners to the core regions affected within and around the Holy Roman Empire, helping explain refugee flows and jurisdictional fragmentation. Source

  • Economic strain emerged from the destruction of farmland, plundering, and high taxation to fund armies.

  • Weakened authority allowed accusations of witchcraft to flourish in areas with fractured governance.

Localised Conflicts

  • In France, the Wars of Religion produced deep social divisions that overlapped with witch accusations.

  • In Scotland and England, civil strife created contexts where authorities sought social discipline through witchcraft prosecutions.

The Plague and Disease

Recurring waves of the plague ravaged Europe, with devastating mortality rates and severe social consequences.

A seventeenth-century plague doctor wearing a full protective outfit (gown, gloves, boots and beaked mask). The costume reflects contemporary miasma theories and the intense social anxiety surrounding contagion. While the image shows dress specifics beyond the syllabus, these details visually underscore epidemic fear and authority responses. Source

Communities sought explanations and scapegoats for such uncontrollable suffering.

The Role of Epidemics

  • Plague outbreaks destroyed entire towns, with mortality sometimes reaching 30–50% of populations.

  • Moral interpretations of disease outbreaks often associated them with divine punishment or the maleficium (harmful magic) of witches.

  • Communities interpreted healers, midwives, or marginalised individuals as responsible for spreading contagion.

Maleficium: The act of causing harm through magical or supernatural means, often linked to accusations of witchcraft in early modern Europe.

The fear of contagion also made neighbours suspicious of each other, particularly in times when medical explanations were insufficient or absent.

The Mini Ice Age

The so-called Mini Ice Age, a period of climatic cooling between the late fifteenth and seventeenth centuries, created agricultural crises and heightened communal tensions.

A long-term temperature reconstruction highlighting the Little Ice Age (blue shading) alongside the Medieval Warm Period. The graphic shows the late-medieval to seventeenth-century cooling that contributed to repeated harvest failures. It includes multiple reconstructions and an instrumental series to contextualise the magnitude of change. Source

Climatic Effects

  • Shorter growing seasons and harsh winters led to repeated crop failures.

  • Livestock deaths were frequent due to freezing conditions and insufficient fodder.

  • Famine conditions increased, particularly in subsistence economies across central and northern Europe.

Social Consequences

  • Scarcity provoked accusations of food theft, hoarding, and supernatural interference in harvests.

  • People blamed witches for blighted crops, dead cattle, or inexplicable weather events such as storms and frosts.

  • The association of witches with control over natural elements became increasingly embedded in popular belief.

Mini Ice Age: A period of climatic cooling from the late fifteenth to the seventeenth centuries, marked by harsh winters, poor harvests, and widespread famine.

Intensification of Witch Persecutions

The combined impact of wars, plague, and climatic instability provided fertile ground for witchcraft accusations.

Mechanisms of Intensification

  • Heightened fear and suspicion: In unstable contexts, communities looked for scapegoats to explain suffering.

  • Judicial readiness: Local and regional courts were more willing to prosecute when public pressure mounted.

  • Religious framing: Clerical authorities used misfortune as evidence of divine punishment, reinforcing the need to purge witchcraft.

Regional Patterns

  • Southern Germany: Experienced some of the most intense witch trials, particularly during the Thirty Years’ War when famine, plague, and violence converged.

  • Switzerland and the Alps: Harsh winters and crop failures linked to the Mini Ice Age created accusations of weather magic.

  • Scandinavia: Belief in witches’ ability to control storms targeted suspected individuals when fishing communities suffered losses.

The Role of Authority and Community Pressure

While communities often initiated accusations, authorities played a central role in sustaining prosecutions during times of crisis.

Local Communities

  • Villagers, desperate to restore order, denounced neighbours suspected of causing misfortune.

  • Collective memory of previous disasters fuelled cyclical outbreaks of accusations.

Authorities

  • Secular rulers saw witch trials as a tool to reassert control and channel unrest away from political structures.

  • Religious leaders framed crises as evidence of Satan’s influence, legitimising persecution.

Interaction Between War, Plague, and Climate

These crises rarely acted in isolation. Often, the overlap of war, epidemic, and famine created conditions for particularly intense witch hunts.

  • Refugee movements during war introduced plague and stretched resources further.

  • Climatic downturns made existing shortages worse, pushing communities into famine.

  • Disease and hunger weakened populations, making them psychologically and socially more vulnerable to fear and scapegoating.

This convergence of crises created a perfect storm that made witchcraft accusations appear as rational responses to inexplicable suffering.

FAQ

The Mini Ice Age’s effects varied depending on geography and local economies. Northern and central Europe, reliant on cereal crops, experienced severe food shortages when harvests failed.

Mediterranean regions were less affected by freezing winters but faced heavy rainfall and flooding, which damaged vineyards and olive groves. Alpine communities endured prolonged snow cover, limiting grazing for livestock and increasing accusations of weather magic.

Women, particularly elderly or widowed women, were closely associated with domestic production and food preparation. When harvests failed, they were blamed for spoiling crops or butter.

Midwives and healers, who used herbal remedies, were also suspected of influencing natural forces. The cultural belief that women had closer ties to nature reinforced suspicions of their supposed power over storms and frost.

Yes. Armies consumed and destroyed resources as they marched, stripping villages of food, livestock, and tools. Fields left untended during campaigns often failed to yield harvests.

Combined with climatic downturns, these shortages intensified famine. Populations already weakened by hunger were more likely to blame neighbours or outsiders for deliberate maleficium, making witchcraft accusations spike in war-torn regions.

Recurring plagues were seen not simply as chance but as signs of God’s displeasure or of active witchcraft.

Communities believed witches spread plague by:

  • Poisoning wells or food supplies.

  • Using powders, ointments, or spells to transmit contagion.

  • Summoning demons to afflict entire households.

Such beliefs provided a supernatural framework for otherwise inexplicable cycles of mortality.

Folklore often provided stories connecting witches to control of the elements. Tales of witches conjuring hailstorms, ruining vineyards, or riding winds shaped communal expectations during climatic hardship.

When storms destroyed crops or sudden frosts killed seedlings, communities drew on this folklore to justify accusations. Local traditions therefore acted as a cultural bridge between natural disasters and judicial witch hunts.

Practice Questions

Question 1 (2 marks)
Name two natural or environmental factors that contributed to fears of witchcraft in early modern Europe.

Mark scheme:

  • 1 mark for each correctly identified factor.
    Acceptable answers include:

  • The Mini Ice Age (climatic cooling/harsh winters).

  • Crop failures due to shortened growing seasons.

  • Livestock deaths caused by harsh winters and lack of fodder.

  • Famine conditions resulting from repeated harvest failures.
    Maximum 2 marks.

Question 2 (6 marks)
Explain how wars and epidemics increased fears of witchcraft in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries.

Mark scheme:
Level 1 (1–2 marks):

  • Basic statements with little or no explanation.

  • Example: “Wars made people afraid. The plague killed people.”

Level 2 (3–4 marks):

  • Some explanation with limited detail and links to witchcraft.

  • Example: “Wars created refugees and famine, which led people to blame witches. The plague made people think illness was caused by magic.”

Level 3 (5–6 marks):

  • Clear and developed explanation with supporting detail.

  • Example: “Wars such as the Thirty Years’ War displaced populations, created economic strain, and weakened authority, encouraging scapegoating through witchcraft accusations. Epidemics like the plague were interpreted as divine punishment or maleficium, and those such as healers or midwives were often accused of spreading contagion.”

Maximum 6 marks.

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