AQA Specification focus:
‘Relationship between water and carbon cycles in the atmosphere; feedbacks and climate change implications.’
This subsubtopic explores how the water and carbon cycles interconnect in the atmosphere, creating feedback mechanisms with significant implications for climate systems globally.
Interactions Between the Water and Carbon Cycles
Atmospheric Connections
The water and carbon cycles are essential Earth systems that interact extensively, particularly within the atmosphere. These interactions are not isolated; they function as linked systems, with changes in one cycle directly influencing the other.
For example, increased atmospheric CO₂ levels from human activity enhance the greenhouse effect, leading to higher global temperatures. In turn, warmer temperatures:
Increase rates of evaporation from oceans and terrestrial surfaces.
Raise the moisture-holding capacity of the atmosphere (warmer air holds more water vapour).
Intensify the hydrological cycle, influencing cloud formation and precipitation patterns.
Role of Vegetation
Photosynthesis, a key process in the carbon cycle, relies on water. Vegetation draws in CO₂ and uses water to produce organic compounds.
Photosynthesis: The process by which green plants use sunlight, carbon dioxide, and water to produce glucose and release oxygen.
The interdependence of water and carbon is particularly evident in forests:
Forests store large amounts of carbon in biomass and soil.
Trees transpire water, contributing to atmospheric moisture through evapotranspiration.
Deforestation disrupts both carbon and water cycles, reducing carbon sequestration and altering rainfall patterns.
Soil Processes
Soils are a crucial interface where both cycles overlap:
Soil moisture influences the rate of decomposition, a carbon cycle process that releases CO₂ and methane.
Wet, waterlogged soils (e.g. peat bogs) store carbon effectively but can also emit methane under anaerobic conditions.
Drying soils can reduce carbon storage and increase respiration rates, releasing more CO₂ into the atmosphere.
Decomposition: The breakdown of organic matter by microorganisms, releasing carbon back into the atmosphere.
Feedback Mechanisms
Positive Feedback Loops
Positive feedback amplifies changes in the system, often leading to further imbalance.

This conceptual framework maps how forcing agents (e.g. CO₂, land-use change) drive changes in radiative balance, which in turn trigger feedback processes—notably water vapour, clouds, permafrost carbon release, and albedo shifts—that amplify or dampen climate change. Source
Key positive feedbacks involving water and carbon cycles include:
Warming → Ice Melt → Albedo Reduction → More Warming
As global temperatures rise, cryospheric carbon stores (e.g. permafrost) melt, releasing trapped CO₂ and methane, intensifying global warming.
Warming → More Evaporation → More Water Vapour → Enhanced Greenhouse Effect
Water vapour is itself a potent greenhouse gas. Warmer temperatures increase its concentration, which intensifies the greenhouse effect, further increasing warming.
Forest Loss → Reduced Evapotranspiration and Carbon Storage → Climate Destabilisation
Deforestation leads to decreased moisture recycling and higher atmospheric CO₂ levels, reinforcing climate warming.
Negative Feedback Loops
Negative feedback stabilises the system by counteracting changes.

Fractional climate‐feedback strengths calculated by NASA-GISS show water vapour as the dominant positive feedback (~0.55 W m⁻² K⁻¹), clouds as a secondary positive feedback (0.27 W m⁻² K⁻¹), and surface albedo (snow and ice cover) as a small negative feedback (–0.2 W m⁻² K⁻¹). Source
Examples include:
Warming → Enhanced Plant Growth (in some regions) → Increased Carbon Sequestration
Higher CO₂ concentrations can promote plant growth, enhancing photosynthesis and carbon uptake, temporarily offsetting emissions.
Cloud Feedbacks
Increased evaporation may lead to greater cloud formation, which can reflect more solar radiation (albedo effect), potentially cooling the Earth. However, this depends on cloud type and altitude, making the overall impact complex and uncertain.
Climate Change Implications
Enhanced Greenhouse Effect
The interconnectedness of the water and carbon cycles has direct implications for climate change. Human activities — especially the combustion of fossil fuels, deforestation, and agriculture — add vast amounts of CO₂ and methane to the atmosphere, tipping the balance of both cycles.
As the carbon cycle is disturbed:
Surface temperatures rise.
The water cycle intensifies, with increased precipitation variability and more extreme weather events.
Ice and snow melt faster, reducing the Earth's ability to reflect incoming radiation.
Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions
Oceans play a dual role:
They act as a carbon sink, absorbing around a quarter of anthropogenic CO₂ emissions.
Warmer oceans reduce their ability to absorb CO₂ and release water vapour, contributing to the greenhouse effect.
Ocean acidification, caused by CO₂ absorption, also impacts marine life and carbon storage through:
Reduced calcification in marine organisms.
Altered carbon cycling in marine food webs.
Tipping Points
The feedbacks between the water and carbon cycles can lead to tipping points, where small changes cause a rapid, irreversible shift in the climate system. Examples include:
Collapse of the Amazon rainforest due to drought and deforestation, shifting from a carbon sink to a carbon source.
Thawing of Arctic permafrost, releasing vast quantities of methane, a highly potent greenhouse gas.
Tipping Point: A critical threshold at which a small change in environmental conditions leads to a significant and potentially irreversible impact on a system.
Summary of Key Interactions
The atmosphere is a shared space where both water and carbon cycles interact.
Changes in carbon concentrations influence temperature, which affects water storage and transfer.
Vegetation and soils mediate processes in both cycles, such as transpiration, photosynthesis, and decomposition.
Feedback loops, both positive and negative, determine the direction and pace of climate change.
Disruption to one cycle invariably influences the other, emphasising the interconnectedness of Earth systems.
Understanding these links is vital for evaluating human impact and developing effective climate change mitigation strategies.
FAQ
At higher latitudes, feedbacks are often intensified due to the presence of permafrost and snow cover. Melting permafrost releases methane, a potent greenhouse gas, and reduced snow cover decreases albedo, enhancing warming.
In tropical regions, dense vegetation increases evapotranspiration and carbon uptake, but deforestation can trigger strong positive feedbacks by reducing both moisture recycling and carbon sequestration.
Feedback strength and type vary depending on climate, vegetation cover, and seasonal cycles.
Water vapour increases as temperatures rise, making it a by-product of warming.
However, it also enhances the greenhouse effect because it is a powerful greenhouse gas. This creates a positive feedback loop:
More warming → more evaporation
More water vapour → more heat trapped
More warming continues
This amplifying effect makes water vapour a critical factor in climate feedback mechanisms.
Clouds influence Earth's radiation balance differently depending on their type and altitude.
Low-level clouds reflect sunlight, contributing to negative feedback.
High-level clouds trap outgoing heat, reinforcing warming through positive feedback.
Changes in atmospheric carbon levels and water vapour affect cloud formation. This makes cloud feedbacks highly uncertain and difficult to model but vital to understanding future climate responses.
Yes, certain interventions can unintentionally trigger feedbacks.
Examples include:
Large-scale irrigation increases evaporation, potentially altering local rainfall and humidity.
Reforestation increases carbon uptake and evapotranspiration, reinforcing cooling effects.
Urbanisation reduces infiltration and vegetation cover, decreasing moisture recycling and increasing CO₂ emissions.
These actions may either dampen or intensify feedbacks depending on scale and environmental context.
Feedbacks can increase the frequency and severity of extreme events.
Enhanced evaporation and atmospheric moisture raise the intensity of storms and heavy rainfall.
Changes in carbon cycle dynamics, such as forest dieback, may lead to drier conditions and droughts.
These extremes are part of larger feedback patterns that reinforce climate instability, especially in sensitive ecosystems like rainforests and the Arctic.
Practice Questions
Outline one example of a positive feedback loop and one example of a negative feedback loop in the interaction between the water and carbon cycles. (3 marks)
1 mark for identifying a valid positive feedback example (e.g. melting permafrost releasing methane).
1 mark for identifying a valid negative feedback example (e.g. increased plant growth absorbing more CO₂).
1 mark for linking either example to climate change or the interaction between the cycles.
Acceptable answers include:
Positive: Melting permafrost releases methane, which increases global warming.
Negative: More CO₂ can stimulate photosynthesis, leading to more carbon uptake and slowing warming.
Link: These processes influence the balance between water and carbon cycles and affect climate regulation.
Explain how feedback mechanisms between the water and carbon cycles can affect global climate change. (6 marks)
Level 1 (1–2 marks):
Basic statements with limited understanding.
General references to feedback without clear explanation.
Level 2 (3–4 marks):
Some understanding of feedback mechanisms with at least one accurate example.
Some linkage to the interaction between the cycles or climate change.
Level 3 (5–6 marks):
Clear and developed explanation of at least two feedback mechanisms (positive and/or negative).
Specific references to how the water and carbon cycles interact and influence global climate change.
Use of appropriate terminology (e.g. evapotranspiration, greenhouse gases, albedo).
Indicative content may include:
Positive feedbacks: Melting ice reduces albedo and increases CO₂/methane release, intensifying warming.
Water vapour feedback: warmer temperatures increase evaporation, enhancing the greenhouse effect.
Negative feedbacks: Increased vegetation growth absorbing more CO₂.
Interactions: Forest loss affecting both carbon storage and water transfer.
Overall impacts: Increased climate variability, intensified cycles, tipping points.