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CIE A-Level Biology Study Notes

16.2.5 Predicting Inheritance: Chi-squared Test

The chi-squared test plays a pivotal role in genetic research, particularly in the field of inheritance. This statistical method is essential for A-Level Biology students to understand, as it aids in determining whether the differences between observed and expected outcomes in genetic experiments are due to chance or other factors.

Introduction to the Chi-squared Test

The chi-squared test is a statistical tool used in genetics to compare observed results with expected outcomes. It serves to determine the likelihood of observed variations occurring purely by chance.

Purpose of the Test

  • Evaluating Fit: This test is used to assess how well the observed data align with the expected data based on a genetic hypothesis.
  • Determining Significance: It helps in ascertaining if the discrepancies between observed and expected results are statistically significant.

Formulating the Hypothesis

A crucial step in the chi-squared test is the establishment of hypotheses.

Example Hypothesis

  • Null Hypothesis: Assumes no significant deviation between observed and expected phenotypic ratios.
  • Alternative Hypothesis: Suggests significant differences exist between observed and expected ratios.

Calculating the Chi-squared Value

The chi-squared (X2) value calculation follows a specific formula:

X2 = ∑ = (O-E) / E

  • O: Observed frequency
  • E: Expected frequency

Steps for Calculation

  • 1. Expected Ratios Determination: Derived from Mendelian genetics or other genetic laws.
  • 2. Observation: Recording actual occurrences in genetic experiments.
  • 3. Formula Application: For each observed category, the expected number is subtracted from the observed, squared, and then divided by the expected number. The sum of these values gives the X2 value.
Calculating the Chi-squared Value

Image courtesy of BioNinja

Interpreting the Chi-squared Test

The interpretation of the chi-squared value involves comparing it against critical values in a chi-squared distribution table.

Degrees of Freedom

  • Calculation Method: It is the number of categories minus one.
  • Relevance: Determines the corresponding row in the chi-squared distribution table.

Significance Level

  • Typically set at 5% (0.05).
  • It is the threshold for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis.

Application in Genetic Studies

The chi-squared test is integral in genetics, particularly in experimental analysis and inheritance pattern studies.

Genetic Applications

  • Monohybrid Crosses: Checking for deviations from expected Mendelian ratios in offspring.
  • Dihybrid Crosses: Evaluating independent assortment and genetic linkage.

Limitations and Considerations

The chi-squared test, while powerful, has limitations that must be acknowledged for accurate interpretation.

Sample Size

  • Larger sample sizes generally provide more reliable results.
  • Smaller samples can lead to statistical inaccuracies.

Expected Frequency Requirement

  • Each expected frequency should be 5 or more to maintain the test's validity.

Case Study: Mendel's Pea Plants

Gregor Mendel's experiments with pea plants provide a classic example of the chi-squared test application in genetics.

Study Process

  • Mendel established expected ratios based on his inheritance laws.
  • He then compared these ratios with the actual observed traits in his pea plant experiments.
  • Utilizing the chi-squared test, Mendel was able to validate his genetic hypotheses.

Detailed Example: Flower Color in Pea Plants

Consider an experiment where Mendel crossed pea plants to observe flower color, a trait determined by a single gene with two alleles.

Expected Outcome

  • Assuming a dominant-recessive relationship, Mendel predicted a 3:1 ratio in the offspring's flower colors.

Observations

  • Suppose Mendel observed 600 offspring, with 450 showing the dominant trait and 150 the recessive.

Chi-squared Calculation

  • Expected Frequencies: 450 dominant (3/4 of 600) and 150 recessive (1/4 of 600).
  • Observed Frequencies: 450 dominant and 150 recessive.
  • Chi-squared Value: Calculation would show a very low X2 value, indicating a good fit with the expected ratio.

Importance in Genetics

The chi-squared test is indispensable in genetics for several reasons:

Validating Genetic Theories

  • It provides a quantitative method to test the accuracy of genetic models and theories.

Identifying Patterns

  • Helps in uncovering hidden patterns in genetic data that might not be apparent through simple observation.

Enhancing Understanding

  • Facilitates a deeper understanding of genetic phenomena, such as linkage, mutation rates, and inheritance patterns.

Summary

In conclusion, the chi-squared test is a fundamental tool in genetics, enabling scientists and students to quantitatively assess the validity of genetic hypotheses. From Mendel's early experiments to modern genetic research, the test's ability to discern between random chance and true genetic patterns remains invaluable. Understanding and applying this test is essential for any student pursuing studies in genetics and biology.

FAQ

A chi-squared test can be used to compare the observed phenotypic ratios of seed shapes in pea plants with the expected Mendelian ratios. Firstly, the expected ratio for a monohybrid cross (like round vs wrinkled seeds, where round is dominant) is 3:1. After crossing the plants, the researcher counts the number of round and wrinkled seeds and applies the chi-squared formula: sum of (observed - expected) squared / expected for each category. If the calculated chi-squared value is less than the critical value from a chi-squared table at a 0.05 significance level, the gene is likely following Mendelian inheritance. A significant result (a value greater than the critical value) would suggest non-Mendelian patterns or other genetic influences at play, indicating a deviation from expected Mendelian ratios.

To apply the chi-squared test, first, we calculate the expected number of red and white flowers. If the total number of flowers is 150, expecting a 3:1 ratio, we should have 112.5 red (3/4 of 150) and 37.5 white (1/4 of 150). The chi-squared value is calculated using the formula: sum of (observed - expected) squared / expected for each category. For red flowers, it is (120 - 112.5) squared / 112.5, and for white flowers, it is (30 - 37.5) squared / 37.5. The degrees of freedom is 1 (2 categories - 1). After calculating and summing these values, we compare the chi-squared value to the critical value from a chi-squared table at a 0.05 significance level. If our calculated value is lower than the table value, we conclude that the observed ratio does not significantly differ from the expected 3:1 ratio.

Practice Questions

Describe a scenario in which the application of a chi-squared test in a genetic study might lead to a rejection of the null hypothesis. What does this rejection imply about the genetic crosses being studied?

Consider a scenario where a researcher crosses two heterozygous tall plants (Tt). Mendel's law of segregation predicts a 3:1 tall to short plant ratio in the offspring. However, the researcher observes 200 tall plants and 100 short plants. Performing a chi-squared test shows significant deviation from the expected ratio. Rejecting the null hypothesis implies the genetic crosses do not adhere to typical Mendelian inheritance patterns. Possible reasons include non-Mendelian inheritance like incomplete dominance, co-dominance, or environmental influences on phenotype. This finding suggests further investigation is needed to understand the genetic factors influencing plant height in this cross.

In a genetic study of fruit flies, a biologist observed the following phenotypic ratios for wing length: 180 flies with long wings and 60 flies with short wings. The expected Mendelian ratio for this trait, considering long wings are dominant, is 3:1. Perform a chi-squared test to determine if the observed data significantly deviate from the expected ratio.

The expected ratio of long to short wings is 3:1. In a sample of 240 flies, we would expect 180 long-winged and 60 short-winged flies. To perform the chi-squared test, we calculate chi-squared as the sum of (Observed - Expected) squared divided by Expected for each category. For long wings, Observed is 180, Expected is 180, so the calculation is (180 - 180) squared / 180 = 0. For short wings, Observed is 60, Expected is 60, so (60 - 60) squared / 60 = 0. The total chi-squared value is 0. Degrees of freedom is 1 (2 categories - 1). Using a chi-squared distribution table with 1 degree of freedom and a significance level of 0.05, the critical value is 3.84. Since 0 is less than 3.84, we do not reject the null hypothesis. This means the difference between observed and expected frequencies is not statistically significant, indicating the observed data fits the expected 3:1 ratio.

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