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IB DP History Study Notes

16.2.6 Foreign Powers' Influence

Foreign powers, throughout history, have had profound implications on various conflicts, shaping their trajectory and outcomes.

Extent of Foreign Intervention and Support

Direct Military Involvement

A direct approach where a foreign nation intervenes with its own military forces.

  • Examples:
    • Soviet Union in Afghanistan (1979-1989): The Soviets entered Afghanistan to support the Marxist government against the Mujahideen rebels.
    • US in Vietnam (1965-1973): The US intervened to support South Vietnam against the communist North and its Viet Cong allies.

Indirect Support

Support that involves offering arms, intelligence, training, or financial aid without putting boots on the ground.

  • Examples:
    • US support to Contras: In the 1980s, the US supplied funds and training to the Contras fighting the Sandinista government in Nicaragua.
    • Soviet support to African nations: During the Cold War, the USSR provided arms and training to several African nations aligned with socialist or communist ideologies.

Proxy Wars

Situations where superpowers avoid direct confrontations but lend support to opposing factions in another country's conflict.

  • Examples:
    • Angola: During its civil war, the MPLA faction was supported by the Soviets, while the FNLA and UNITA had Western backing.
    • Korean War: While the North had Chinese and Soviet support, the South was backed by the US and its allies.

Motives for Foreign Involvement

Strategic Interests

Geopolitical Considerations

Countries might choose to intervene to control strategic locations, vital sea routes, or essential resources.

  • Middle East: Rich in oil reserves and home to crucial sea routes like the Suez Canal, its geopolitical significance has often drawn foreign powers into its regional conflicts.

Ideological Struggles

Throughout the Cold War, the US and the USSR intervened in many global conflicts, aiming to expand or restrict the influence of communism.

  • Examples:
    • Cuba: The US attempted to topple the communist Castro regime through methods like the Bay of Pigs invasion.
    • Afghanistan: The Soviets intervened to prop up a friendly communist regime.

Economic Interests

Nations with vested economic interests might choose intervention to safeguard those assets.

  • Example:
    • Suez Crisis (1956): Britain and France, alarmed by the nationalisation of the Suez Canal (vital for European trade), intervened militarily.

Humanitarian Concerns

Occasionally, international intervention is driven by humanitarian reasons, especially when there are gross human rights violations.

  • Example:
    • Balkans in the 1990s: NATO intervened in Bosnia and later in Kosovo to prevent genocides and ethnic cleansing.

Methods of Foreign Involvement

Diplomatic Pressures

  • United Nations: Nations often use the UN platform to exert diplomatic pressures, such as resolutions condemning certain actions.
  • Sanctions: Economic or military sanctions can be applied to force nations into compliance.

Espionage and Intelligence

  • CIA and KGB: During the Cold War, these agencies played significant roles in gathering intelligence and conducting covert operations worldwide.

Supplying Arms and Equipment

  • Iran-Iraq War: Both sides received arms from various global powers, with the US covertly supplying both at different points.

Direct Military Action

  • Examples:
    • The Gulf War (1991): A US-led coalition intervened to expel Iraqi forces from Kuwait.
    • Russian annexation of Crimea (2014): Russian troops entered Crimea, leading to its annexation.

Consequences of Foreign Involvement

Escalation of Conflict

Direct involvement of major powers can expand the scope and scale of a localised conflict.

  • Example:
    • Syrian Civil War: What began as a civil unrest expanded into a full-blown conflict with Russian, US, Turkish, and Iranian involvement.

Shift in Power Dynamics

Outside intervention can lead to the rise or fall of regimes and political entities.

  • Example:
    • Chile (1973): US-backed coup led to the fall of Allende's socialist government and Pinochet's rise to power.

Economic Impact

  • Libya post-2011: Foreign intervention and subsequent conflict have led to significant disruptions in oil production, affecting global prices.

Humanitarian Impact

While some interventions aim at preventing humanitarian crises, others inadvertently cause them.

  • Iraq War (2003-2011): The war led to widespread displacement, civilian casualties, and sectarian tensions.

Reshaping International Relations

Foreign interventions can lead to realignments in global politics.

  • Example:
    • Russian intervention in Syria: Strengthened the Russia-Syria-Iran axis, leading to a re-evaluation of Middle Eastern alliances.

In studying the influence of foreign powers, one gains insights into the complex interplay of geopolitics, ideology, and strategy in shaping global events.

FAQ

With advancements in technology, foreign intervention methods have evolved considerably. Cyber warfare has emerged as a tool for nations to interfere in another country's affairs, evidenced by cyberattacks on infrastructure or attempts to influence elections. Drones, another technological advancement, allow for surgical strikes with minimal ground presence, reducing risks to the intervening power's military personnel. Advanced surveillance tools enable real-time intelligence gathering from great distances. Additionally, social media and the internet have been utilised to shape public opinion, both domestically and internationally. Thus, technology has expanded the toolkit of foreign powers, enabling interventions that are more covert, precise, and wide-ranging.

While humanitarian motives for foreign interventions are often presented as altruistic, they can be intertwined with strategic, political, or economic interests. For instance, an intervention to prevent a humanitarian crisis can bolster the intervening country's image globally, granting it soft power advantages. Furthermore, stabilising a region through humanitarian intervention can safeguard economic or geopolitical interests. In some cases, humanitarian reasons might be used as a facade to pursue other hidden agendas. While many interventions do aim to alleviate human suffering, it's essential to analyse them within the broader context of international relations and the interests of the intervening power.

International laws and conventions, like the United Nations Charter, play a significant role in shaping decisions on foreign interventions. The Charter prohibits the use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state unless there's a UN Security Council resolution or an act of self-defence. Additionally, conventions like the Geneva Conventions dictate how conflicts should be conducted, aiming to minimise harm to civilians and POWs. However, the interpretation and enforcement of these laws can be contentious. While they provide a legal framework and moral basis, the geopolitical realities often lead to selective adherence and enforcement.

Indirect support from foreign powers can be manifold, ranging from financial assistance, arms supply, intelligence sharing, to training of local militias or government troops. Economic aid can bolster a country's resilience during conflict, while arms supplies can significantly enhance its military capabilities. Intelligence sharing can provide valuable insights into enemy strategies, movements, and vulnerabilities. Lastly, training can enhance the proficiency and effectiveness of local forces, enabling them to utilise supplied weapons more effectively and adopt advanced tactics. The choice of tools often depends on the intervening country's strategic objectives, the nature of the conflict, and its relationship with the recipient.

Foreign intervention played a pivotal role in the Korean War's trajectory and eventual stalemate. Initially, North Korean forces, with Soviet equipment, quickly overran much of South Korea. In response, the US, under the UN banner, intervened to support South Korea, pushing North Korean forces back up the peninsula. When UN forces neared China's border, China intervened on behalf of North Korea, resulting in the conflict's dynamic shifting again. The massive involvement of external powers, chiefly the US and China, led to a protracted conflict that eventually ended in an armistice in 1953, with the Korean Peninsula remaining divided along the 38th parallel.

Practice Questions

Evaluate the primary motives behind foreign intervention in regional conflicts during the Cold War era.

During the Cold War, the primary motives for foreign intervention in regional conflicts were largely rooted in ideological struggles between the West, led by the US, and the Eastern Bloc, led by the USSR. The objective was to either halt or promote the spread of communism. For instance, the US's interventions in Vietnam and Latin America were driven by the Domino Theory, which suggested that the fall of one country to communism could trigger a cascade in neighbouring states. Conversely, the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan aimed at upholding a friendly communist regime. While geopolitical and economic interests also played a role, ideological motives were paramount during this period.

Discuss the impact of foreign powers' involvement on the dynamics and outcomes of the Syrian Civil War.

The Syrian Civil War's dynamics and outcomes were significantly influenced by foreign powers. The initial civil unrest against the Assad regime escalated into a multifaceted conflict with Russian, US, Turkish, and Iranian interventions. Russia's support for Assad, through airstrikes and military aid, helped the regime regain control over key areas. Conversely, the US supported Kurdish and rebel factions, leading to the liberation of areas from ISIS but also complicating relations with NATO ally Turkey. Iran's support to Shiite militias solidified the Shiite axis in the region. Thus, foreign involvement transformed a localised conflict into a proxy battleground, shaping territorial controls and regional alliances.

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