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AQA GCSE Geography Notes

1.4.3 Effects of climate change

Climate change causes significant shifts in environmental systems and human societies, with widespread consequences for weather, ecosystems, sea levels, and agriculture.

Changing weather patterns

One of the most noticeable and immediate effects of climate change is the alteration of weather patterns across the globe. These changes are not uniform and can vary significantly depending on region, making them difficult to predict and manage. Changes in weather patterns are already affecting communities worldwide and are expected to intensify in the coming decades.

More frequent and extreme weather events

Climate change contributes to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, making them more destructive and harder to anticipate.

  • Heatwaves are becoming longer and more intense, particularly in urban areas where the heat island effect makes temperatures even higher. These heatwaves increase the risk of dehydration, heatstroke, and wildfires.

  • Tropical storms and hurricanes are more powerful due to warmer sea surface temperatures. Warm water provides the energy needed for storms to grow stronger, resulting in more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes. These storms bring destructive winds, heavy rain, and storm surges that flood coastal areas.

  • Heavy rainfall and flooding are becoming more common as warmer air holds more moisture. When this moisture is released, it can lead to intense rainfall events that overwhelm drainage systems, causing flash floods and landslides.

  • Droughts are more prolonged and widespread in some regions, especially in areas already prone to dry conditions. Reduced rainfall and higher evaporation rates contribute to water shortages and crop failures.

Shifts in seasonal cycles

Changes in climate are altering the timing of seasons, which disrupts natural and human activities that rely on predictable seasonal patterns.

  • Earlier springs and later winters are causing plants to bloom sooner, which can lead to mismatches in food availability for insects and animals that depend on them.

  • Unreliable seasonal rainfall impacts agriculture, especially in developing countries where irrigation systems are less advanced. Delayed monsoons or shortened rainy seasons threaten crop production.

  • Increased unpredictability in weather makes it harder for farmers to plan planting and harvesting, and for emergency services to prepare for extreme events.

Impacts on biodiversity

Biodiversity—the variety of life on Earth—is particularly sensitive to climate change. Rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns threaten the survival of many species and disrupt delicate ecological balances.

Habitat loss and fragmentation

  • Polar ice melt is destroying habitats for species like polar bears, seals, and penguins, which rely on sea ice for hunting and breeding. As ice melts earlier in the year and freezes later, these species face reduced access to food and safe environments.

  • Coral reefs are experiencing mass bleaching due to warmer sea temperatures. Coral bleaching occurs when corals expel the algae (zooxanthellae) that live within their tissues, causing them to turn white and making them more vulnerable to disease and death.

  • Mountain and forest ecosystems are shrinking as species are pushed to higher altitudes or latitudes. In many cases, suitable habitats do not exist beyond a certain point, leading to local or global extinctions.

Disruption of ecosystems

  • Food chains are destabilized when species migrate or die out. For example, if a primary food source becomes unavailable, predators may struggle to survive, which affects all organisms within that ecosystem.

  • Reproductive cycles are changing as animals respond to earlier springs or delayed winters. Birds may lay eggs at the wrong time, and insects may emerge before plants have bloomed.

  • Invasive species are becoming more common as warmer climates allow them to spread into new areas, often outcompeting native species and altering the structure of ecosystems.

Sea level rise

Sea level rise is one of the most well-known and serious long-term effects of climate change. It results from two main processes: the melting of land-based ice and the thermal expansion of seawater.

Causes of sea level rise

  • Melting glaciers and ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are adding vast amounts of freshwater to the oceans. Glaciers in mountain ranges around the world are also retreating rapidly.

  • Thermal expansion occurs because water expands as it warms. As the global temperature rises, even if no ice melts, the increased volume of seawater causes the sea level to rise.

The average global sea level has risen by about 20 cm (8 inches) since 1900 and continues to rise at an accelerating rate.

Impacts of rising seas

  • Coastal erosion is intensified as rising waters wear away beaches, cliffs, and coastal infrastructure. Protective features such as dunes and mangroves are also damaged.

  • Flooding of coastal areas becomes more frequent and severe, especially during high tides and storm surges. Low-lying countries like Bangladesh and small island nations are especially vulnerable.

  • Saltwater intrusion affects freshwater aquifers, contaminating drinking water and irrigation supplies. This makes it harder for communities to access clean water and grow crops.

Implications for human habitats

Climate change influences where and how people live, particularly in areas exposed to sea level rise, extreme weather, and reduced availability of resources like freshwater and fertile land.

Displacement and migration

  • Climate refugees are people forced to leave their homes due to environmental conditions that have become uninhabitable. Rising sea levels, desertification, and repeated flooding can force entire communities to relocate.

  • Internal and international migration creates pressure on urban infrastructure, social services, and job markets in receiving areas. It may also lead to conflict over resources and space.

Public health risks

  • Heat-related illnesses such as heat exhaustion and heatstroke are becoming more common, especially among the elderly, young children, and outdoor workers.

  • Increased spread of diseases like malaria, dengue fever, and Lyme disease occurs as the insects that carry them expand into new regions with warmer climates.

  • Food and water insecurity can result in malnutrition, stunted growth in children, and increased vulnerability to other health issues.

Effects on agricultural productivity

Agriculture is closely tied to climate and is particularly vulnerable to changes in temperature, rainfall, and extreme weather.

Changes in growing conditions

  • Longer growing seasons in some temperate regions may allow farmers to grow more crops or harvest multiple times per year. However, this benefit is often offset by other climate risks.

  • Unpredictable rainfall makes it difficult for farmers to know when to plant and harvest crops. Both droughts and heavy rains can damage crops and reduce yields.

  • Pest and disease spread is accelerated by warmer temperatures. Crops may suffer greater losses from insects, fungi, and bacterial diseases that thrive in these conditions.

Impact on food production

  • Reduced yields are common in developing countries, especially for staple crops like wheat, maize, and rice. High temperatures and water scarcity reduce plant growth and increase the risk of total crop failure.

  • Livestock are affected by heat stress, which reduces their ability to reproduce and lowers milk and meat production. Grazing lands may also be degraded by drought or floods.

  • Global food supply chains may be disrupted by climate-related transportation issues, trade restrictions, or regional shortages, leading to higher prices and reduced availability.

Adaptation challenges

  • Farmers must adapt by switching to drought-resistant crops, improving irrigation efficiency, and using climate forecasting tools. These changes require training and investment.

  • Government support is vital for research, infrastructure, and subsidies to help farmers transition to sustainable practices.

  • Technology such as precision farming and genetically modified organisms (GMOs) offers potential solutions but raises ethical and economic concerns that need to be addressed.

Interconnected consequences

The effects of climate change rarely occur in isolation. One impact often triggers or intensifies others, creating a web of interconnected consequences that span environmental, economic, and social domains.

  • Flooding impacts agriculture, displacing farmers and destroying crops, which in turn leads to food shortages and higher prices.

  • Biodiversity loss reduces ecosystem services, such as pollination, water purification, and natural pest control, which support both agriculture and human health.

  • Displaced populations may increase urban poverty, putting pressure on housing, schools, and hospitals, and potentially causing social unrest.

  • Health systems face strain from climate-induced illnesses and malnutrition, particularly in regions with limited healthcare infrastructure.

Regional inequality in climate impacts

The effects of climate change are not evenly distributed. Some regions are more vulnerable due to geography, economic development, or existing environmental stress.

  • Low-income countries often lack the resources needed to adapt to climate change. They may suffer disproportionately from drought, flooding, and food shortages.

  • Small island states like the Maldives, Tuvalu, and Kiribati face an existential threat as rising seas could submerge large parts of their territory.

  • Arid regions in Africa and Asia experience declining agricultural productivity, leading to hunger and conflict over limited resources.

Wealthier countries may be better equipped to cope with the effects but are not immune. Coastal cities, forested areas prone to wildfires, and aging infrastructure can all suffer significant damage.

FAQ

Climate change significantly alters the global water cycle, impacting the availability of freshwater in both abundance and distribution. In many regions, especially semi-arid and arid zones, increased temperatures lead to higher evaporation rates from rivers, lakes, and soil, reducing the overall volume of available freshwater. This is compounded by shifting precipitation patterns—some areas experience prolonged droughts, reducing river flow and groundwater recharge, while others face intense rainfall that quickly runs off without soaking into the ground. In mountainous regions, glaciers that feed major rivers are melting faster, which may initially increase water supply but will lead to severe shortages once those glaciers shrink significantly. Low-lying coastal regions are also affected by saltwater intrusion as sea levels rise, contaminating aquifers that communities rely on for drinking and irrigation. These freshwater stresses are particularly harmful to agriculture, sanitation, and health, and they disproportionately affect developing countries with limited water infrastructure or management systems.

Indigenous communities often live in close connection with the natural environment, which makes them especially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Many rely on traditional practices such as fishing, herding, or subsistence farming, all of which depend on predictable seasonal patterns and stable ecosystems. Climate change disrupts these patterns, leading to reduced crop yields, altered animal migration routes, and unpredictable water sources. For example, Arctic indigenous groups face threats to their way of life as melting permafrost and retreating sea ice affect hunting grounds and housing stability. In forested areas, shifting rainfall patterns and increased risk of wildfires threaten traditional lands. Furthermore, indigenous communities may lack the political representation or legal rights needed to influence climate policies that affect their territories. Their remote locations also mean that emergency aid and adaptation resources are often harder to access. Despite this, many indigenous communities possess valuable ecological knowledge that can contribute to sustainable climate adaptation strategies.

Climate change can have profound effects on mental health through both direct and indirect pathways. People exposed to extreme weather events such as floods, hurricanes, or wildfires often suffer from trauma, anxiety, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). The fear and uncertainty about future disasters can create chronic stress, especially in communities that have experienced repeated climate-related impacts. Indirectly, climate change causes disruption to livelihoods, displacement, and loss of cultural identity, all of which contribute to emotional distress. Farmers dealing with failed crops due to drought or unpredictable weather often experience depression linked to financial hardship and food insecurity. In coastal and island communities, the looming threat of relocation due to sea level rise creates a pervasive sense of loss and helplessness. Children and young people may also experience "eco-anxiety," a growing concern about environmental degradation and future sustainability. Addressing these issues requires integrating mental health support into disaster response and long-term adaptation planning.

Climate change affects soil quality in several ways, reducing the fertility and productivity of agricultural land. Higher temperatures and extreme heat can speed up the decomposition of organic matter, reducing the amount of nutrients in the soil. More frequent heavy rainfall leads to soil erosion, washing away the topsoil layer which is rich in minerals and essential for crop growth. In contrast, prolonged droughts dry out soil, leading to compaction and the breakdown of soil structure, making it harder for roots to grow and for water to be retained. Climate change also alters soil microbial activity, which affects nutrient cycling and plant health. Additionally, sea level rise can lead to saltwater intrusion in coastal agricultural areas, making soil saline and unsuitable for many crops. As a result, farmers may need to invest in soil conservation techniques such as cover cropping, no-till farming, and organic matter restoration to maintain soil health under changing climate conditions.

Climate change significantly affects marine ecosystems and fish populations, which in turn threatens global food security, particularly in coastal and island communities. Rising ocean temperatures disrupt the migration, reproduction, and feeding patterns of many fish species. Warm-water species may expand into new areas, while cold-water species retreat to deeper or more polar waters, often beyond the reach of traditional fisheries. Coral reef degradation due to bleaching removes critical habitats for numerous marine species, reducing biodiversity and fish availability. Ocean acidification, caused by increased carbon dioxide absorption, interferes with the development of shell-forming organisms like plankton, clams, and oysters, which are vital to the marine food web. Changes in ocean currents and nutrient upwelling patterns can also reduce fish stocks in traditionally productive fishing zones. These shifts endanger the livelihoods of millions of people who rely on fishing and seafood, particularly in developing nations with limited capacity to adapt or diversify their food sources.

Practice Questions

Explain how climate change affects biodiversity.

Climate change affects biodiversity by altering habitats and disrupting ecosystems. Rising temperatures force species to migrate to cooler areas, but suitable habitats are not always available, leading to population decline or extinction. Coral reefs suffer from bleaching due to warmer oceans, reducing marine biodiversity. Changes in rainfall and temperature patterns also affect plant growth and food availability, impacting animals that depend on them. Some species adapt, but others cannot cope with rapid changes. Invasive species can also thrive in new conditions, outcompeting native species. These combined effects reduce ecosystem stability and overall biodiversity across the planet.

Discuss how sea level rise caused by climate change can impact human settlements

Sea level rise, driven by melting ice and thermal expansion, threatens coastal human settlements. Flooding becomes more frequent and severe, damaging homes, roads, and infrastructure. In low-lying areas, such as Bangladesh or island nations like the Maldives, entire communities may be forced to relocate, becoming climate refugees. Saltwater intrusion into freshwater supplies reduces drinking water quality and agricultural productivity. Property values decline in high-risk zones, and insurance costs rise. Governments face increased costs for coastal defenses, while social tensions can grow as populations migrate inland. These impacts highlight the urgent need for adaptation strategies to protect vulnerable communities.

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